The Fix's Nader Elhefnawy offers The End of Science Fiction (Part One), the first three of "five big arguments for a bleak view of the genre's prospects that certainly merit consideration." These three - The End of Science, Changing Expectations, and The Life Cycle of Genres. He draws from John Horgan's The End of Science: Facing the Limits of Knowledge in the Twilight of the Scientific Age, Bruce Sterling's preface to Burning Chrome, and John Barnes's Helix column on science fiction as an “undead” genre (itself a fascinating read.)
I enjoyed the article, which if nothing else points to a lot of equally enjoyable essays and opinions, but I think the usefulness of this sort of thing is drying up for me. Is science fiction dying? From where I stand it appears to be exploding, but even if it is dying, what am I supposed to do with that? I'm reminded of the final lines from H G Wells' the Time Machine. "If that is so, it remains for us to live as though it were not so. But to me the future is still black and blank..."
Here's to a black, blank future!